#GOLDILOCKS ECONOMY WIKIPEDIA SERIES#

ThatвЂ™s because both countries track and produce regular, reliable data on births and deaths, which allow population researchers to monitor trends in almost real time. Those results made headlines, but they are in line with what demographers expected, says Gerland. вЂњChina and the US were very much the exceptions in getting their censuses done,вЂќ says Patrick Gerland, who leads demographic work at the UN Population Division in New York City, which produces the UN projections.Д«oth the United States and China reported that they are experiencing record low levels of population growth. Many more countries were scheduled to release results this year but have been delayed by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Ancient Egyptian, Roman and Chinese societies all carried out regular counts.Д®arlier this year, both China and the United States reported results from censuses carried out in 2020. HeadcountДЄll estimates of population start with the same question: how many people are alive right now? Attempts to answer that question go back to 4000 bc, when the Babylonians used a census to work out how much food they needed to feed their people. вЂњEvery government is interested in what is going to happen to their population in the next couple of decades, for pragmatic economic reasons and planning needs,вЂќ says TomГЎЕЎ Sobotka, a population researcher at the Vienna Institute of Demography. That adds up to a growing research and policy interest in the planetвЂ™s human resources. And the pandemic has complicated things by delaying some censuses and potentially changing predictions for life expectancy and birth rates, at least in the short term. This is crucial, not only to provide a solid baseline from which to project into the distant future, but also to develop policies for today, such as allocating COVID vaccinations and providing adequate numbers of school places. No matter which model is used, the most important data are precise numbers of who lives in each country today - and researchers are developing ways to improve these tallies. The fraction of the global population at risk of floods is growing The difference poses a conundrum for governments, companies and others trying to plan for everything from investment in infrastructure and future tax income, to setting goals for international development and greenhouse-gas reductions.

The other groups forecast earlier and smaller peaks, with global population reaching 9.7 billion by 2070 and then declining. The UN says world population will plateau at 10.9 billion by the end of the century. But in the past few years, rival groups have developed their own techniques and produced their own results - which vary considerably and have generated bitter disputes in the field. And many of these policies are based on computer simulations of how future population numbers will rise and fall.ДЇor decades, the most influential of these projections was produced by a small group of population modellers at the United Nations. Across the world, to secure a stable financial future, governments are desperate to keep national population numbers in a Goldilocks zone: not too many, not too few. Singapore is a dramatic example, but far from unique. Under the awkward slogan вЂњHave Three or More (if you can afford it)вЂќ, the scales tipped abruptly towards those with larger families, who were now given priority for schools and housing. In March 1987, officials performed a demographic U-turn. It increased hospital fees for the delivery of third babies and withdrew maternity pay.

#GOLDILOCKS ECONOMY WIKIPEDIA SERIES#

The government initially told them to вЂњStop-at-TwoвЂќ and backed up the policy with a series of measures to deter couples from having three or more children. The 1980s were a puzzling time for would-be parents in Singapore.

Goldilocks economy wikipedia